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Red50
292823.6
367427.3
903628.9
Blue107
252237.2
252142.8
902330.0
7%Model gave it93%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311520406010014016018050107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9036
#22
28.91.4
24.723.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.6
blue by 13.8
42.80.2
41.041.2
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End3.1
Second
3674
#20
27.31.4
25.223.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End1.7
blue by 10.0
37.20.2
31.631.8
Auto12.5
Teleop21.9
End2.9
Third
2928
#41
23.61.4
21.119.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 6.4
30.00.2
26.226.4
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed