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Red134
412524.9
291045.9
177841.4
Blue63
263513.3
198325.2
129432.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216905010015020013463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
45.91.0
41.342.4
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End1.7
red by 13.9
1294
#38
32.00.4
29.128.7
Auto11.9
Teleop18.7
End1.3
Second
41.41.0
40.541.5
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
red by 16.3
1983
#46
25.20.4
29.228.8
Auto9.1
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Third
4125
#34
24.91.0
21.622.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End1.5
red by 11.5
2635
#48
13.30.4
10.610.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed