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Red71
382616.8
448827.3
281139.7
Blue81
404340.9
944617.7
292823.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92800501001507181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.7
37.036.3
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.5
blue by 1.2
40.90.1
37.237.3
Auto14.4
Teleop23.2
End3.3
Second
4488
#36
27.30.7
27.226.5
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End3.2
red by 3.7
2928
#41
23.60.1
19.719.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Third
3826
#49
16.80.7
17.516.8
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 0.9
9446
#44
17.70.1
17.217.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed