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Red123
445029.3
903628.9
291045.9
Blue114
367427.3
204641.6
582727.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001056080120140123114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
45.91.8
42.444.2
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End1.7
red by 4.3
41.60.8
39.440.2
Auto14.1
Teleop23.8
End3.7
Second
4450
#11
29.31.8
25.327.1
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6
red by 1.8
5827
#16
27.40.8
32.333.2
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
Third
9036
#22
28.91.8
23.325.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.6
red by 1.7
3674
#20
27.30.8
22.723.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned48%Ensemble oddsEarned