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Red97
36033.1
683117.7
321825.2
Blue81
198325.2
177841.4
803221.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510102040801201401609781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#24
33.11.9
26.928.9
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End4.2
blue by 8.3
41.40.4
41.541.1
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
3218
#37
25.21.9
21.223.2
Auto5.7
Teleop18.1
End1.4
red by 0.1
1983
#46
25.20.4
27.627.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Third
6831
#40
17.71.9
14.816.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.6
blue by 3.6
8032
#27
21.30.4
17.817.4
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed