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Red53
129432.0
38768.9
48824.5
Blue91
189927.4
263513.3
703422.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75660501001502002503005391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#38
32.00.9
28.727.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.7
End1.3
red by 4.6
1899
#13
27.41.3
29.931.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Second
488
#47
24.50.9
26.725.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 1.8
7034
#42
22.71.3
20.922.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.5
End1.4
Third
3876
#50
8.90.9
11.310.4
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 4.4
2635
#48
13.31.3
10.211.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed