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Red77
241220.2
366340.4
154030.8
Blue86
293032.5
803221.3
902330.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9070204060801001201401607786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#21
40.40.2
35.635.4
Auto14.8
Teleop21.9
End3.7
red by 7.9
2930
#10
32.51.3
26.527.9
Auto11.8
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Second
1540
#18
30.80.2
27.126.9
Auto9.5
Teleop17.4
End3.8
red by 0.8
30.01.3
23.024.3
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Third
2412
#43
20.20.2
16.716.6
Auto10.2
Teleop9.8
End0.2
blue by 1.1
8032
#27
21.31.3
16.517.8
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed