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Red106
204641.6
281139.7
944617.7
Blue84
683117.7
307037.2
418024.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9379406010012014010684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.6
37.939.5
Auto14.1
Teleop23.8
End3.7
red by 4.4
3070
#32
37.20.7
34.735.4
Auto13.4
Teleop21.0
End2.8
Second
39.71.6
29.631.2
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.5
red by 15.6
4180
#39
24.20.7
24.825.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.8
Third
9446
#44
17.71.6
15.016.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End1.0
red by 0.1
6831
#40
17.70.7
13.414.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
83%Ensemble oddsEarned48%Ensemble oddsMissed