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Red72
382616.8
446926.2
634320.4
Blue96
189927.4
291045.9
582727.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4811501001502007296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#19
26.21.4
22.123.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.5
End4.7
blue by 19.8
2910
#12
45.90.0
42.342.3
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End1.7
Second
6343
#35
20.41.4
12.113.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
blue by 7.0
5827
#16
27.40.0
27.127.1
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
Third
3826
#49
16.81.4
17.518.8
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 10.6
1899
#13
27.40.0
26.526.5
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed