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Red144
177841.4
131834.6
404340.9
Blue26
38768.9
903628.9
298018.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11948010015020014426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.42.3
37.940.2
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
red by 12.5
9036
#22
28.91.9
26.424.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.6
Second
40.92.3
32.334.6
Auto14.4
Teleop23.2
End3.3
red by 22.1
2980
#33
18.81.9
12.310.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
Third
34.62.3
29.031.4
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End4.5
red by 25.7
3876
#50
8.91.9
13.311.4
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed