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Red114
292823.6
204641.6
293032.5
Blue86
321825.2
198325.2
154030.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10787406012014016018011486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.3
40.241.5
Auto14.1
Teleop23.8
End3.7
red by 10.8
1540
#18
30.80.0
30.530.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.4
End3.8
Second
2930
#10
32.51.3
34.535.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.8
End2.9
red by 7.3
3218
#37
25.20.0
23.223.2
Auto5.7
Teleop18.1
End1.4
Third
2928
#41
23.61.3
19.821.1
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 1.6
1983
#46
25.20.0
27.227.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed