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Red69
292629.3
582727.4
448827.3
Blue77
418024.2
131834.6
36033.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101987080901101201306977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2926
#23
29.31.5
29.828.3
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
blue by 5.3
34.61.1
32.831.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End4.5
Second
5827
#16
27.41.5
34.232.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
blue by 5.7
360
#24
33.11.1
29.828.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End4.2
Third
4488
#36
27.31.5
27.225.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End3.2
red by 3.1
4180
#39
24.21.1
26.525.4
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsEarned