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Red100
252142.8
307037.2
803221.3
Blue93
48824.5
291045.9
413120.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119840608012014016010093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.3
42.141.8
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End3.1
blue by 3.1
2910
#12
45.90.2
44.844.6
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End1.7
Second
3070
#32
37.20.3
38.838.5
Auto13.4
Teleop21.0
End2.8
red by 12.7
488
#47
24.50.2
25.825.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
8032
#27
21.30.3
18.518.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
red by 1.2
4131
#45
20.10.2
19.919.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed