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Red105
177841.4
247133.4
189927.4
Blue90
644335.8
159527.8
903628.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11883406010014016018010590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.9
40.439.6
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
red by 5.6
6443
#29
35.80.7
28.228.9
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
2471
#14
33.40.9
31.130.3
Auto8.2
Teleop21.9
End3.2
red by 4.4
9036
#22
28.90.7
24.925.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.6
Third
1899
#13
27.40.9
31.230.4
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4
blue by 0.4
1595
#17
27.80.7
26.427.1
Auto3.6
Teleop21.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed