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Red87
198325.2
49230.2
703422.7
Blue91
321825.2
902330.0
445029.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888884869092948791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#26
30.20.2
29.830.0
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End2.1
red by 0.2
30.00.1
27.127.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Second
1983
#46
25.20.2
27.227.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.8
End2.2
blue by 4.1
4450
#11
29.30.1
29.429.5
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6
Third
7034
#42
22.70.2
22.322.4
Auto8.7
Teleop12.5
End1.4
blue by 2.5
3218
#37
25.20.1
23.223.3
Auto5.7
Teleop18.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned