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Red69
634320.4
142525.0
298018.8
Blue76
263513.3
412524.9
281139.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628020401001206976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#30
25.00.6
23.023.6
Auto9.9
Teleop9.8
End5.3
blue by 14.8
39.70.4
35.635.9
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.5
Second
6343
#35
20.40.6
17.818.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
blue by 4.4
4125
#34
24.90.4
23.523.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Third
2980
#33
18.80.6
17.418.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
red by 5.4
2635
#48
13.30.4
11.511.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned