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Red108
367427.3
281139.7
154030.8
Blue72
189927.4
943020.3
292629.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103882040608012014016018010872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.8
37.238.0
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.5
red by 10.4
2926
#23
29.30.9
29.728.8
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
Second
1540
#18
30.80.8
28.629.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.4
End3.8
red by 3.4
1899
#13
27.40.9
30.429.4
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Third
3674
#20
27.30.8
25.926.6
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End1.7
red by 7.0
9430
#28
20.30.9
21.120.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
82%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed