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Red86
298018.8
803221.3
448827.3
Blue127
204641.6
252142.8
445029.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601365010015020086127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#36
27.31.4
25.727.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End3.2
blue by 15.5
42.80.4
41.942.3
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End3.1
Second
8032
#27
21.31.4
18.620.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
blue by 20.3
41.60.4
42.542.9
Auto14.1
Teleop23.8
End3.7
Third
2980
#33
18.81.4
18.920.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
blue by 10.5
4450
#11
29.30.4
29.429.8
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned78%Ensemble oddsMissed