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Red99
129432.0
944236.2
446926.2
Blue71
198325.2
292823.6
468225.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10380501502009971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#15
36.20.6
37.037.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.3
End1.2
red by 10.7
4682
#31
25.50.3
26.326.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.2
Second
1294
#38
32.00.6
29.329.9
Auto11.9
Teleop18.7
End1.3
red by 6.8
1983
#46
25.20.3
27.026.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Third
4469
#19
26.20.6
23.924.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.5
End4.7
red by 2.6
2928
#41
23.60.3
21.921.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed