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Red90
903628.9
241220.2
36033.1
Blue85
944617.7
413120.1
255729.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91710501502009085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#24
33.10.7
31.532.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End4.2
red by 4.0
29.10.4
29.830.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End3.3
Second
9036
#22
28.90.7
28.729.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.6
red by 8.8
4131
#45
20.10.4
19.720.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
2412
#43
20.20.7
19.520.2
Auto10.2
Teleop9.8
End0.2
red by 2.5
9446
#44
17.70.4
17.317.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed