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Red157
366340.4
177841.4
252237.2
Blue74
703422.7
418024.2
382616.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129665010015015774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.42.5
39.642.2
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
red by 17.3
4180
#39
24.20.8
24.924.1
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.8
Second
3663
#21
40.42.5
35.638.2
Auto14.8
Teleop21.9
End3.7
red by 17.7
7034
#42
22.70.8
23.422.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.5
End1.4
Third
37.22.5
33.936.4
Auto12.5
Teleop21.9
End2.9
red by 20.4
3826
#49
16.80.8
19.218.3
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsEarned