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Red120
902330.0
247133.4
644335.8
Blue107
291045.9
367427.3
321825.2
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97108406080120140160120107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#29
35.82.1
29.831.9
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.0
blue by 10.1
2910
#12
45.90.7
45.546.3
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End1.7
Second
2471
#14
33.42.1
31.633.6
Auto8.2
Teleop21.9
End3.2
red by 6.1
3674
#20
27.30.7
26.627.4
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End1.7
Third
30.02.1
27.629.7
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End2.0
red by 4.8
3218
#37
25.20.7
24.124.8
Auto5.7
Teleop18.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed