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Red98
404340.9
142525.0
293032.5
Blue83
634320.4
189927.4
307037.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11095501502009883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.0
38.838.8
Auto14.4
Teleop23.2
End3.3
red by 3.7
3070
#32
37.20.3
38.438.1
Auto13.4
Teleop21.0
End2.8
Second
2930
#10
32.50.0
33.833.9
Auto11.8
Teleop17.8
End2.9
red by 5.1
1899
#13
27.40.3
29.429.1
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Third
1425
#30
25.00.0
24.824.9
Auto9.9
Teleop9.8
End5.3
red by 4.5
6343
#35
20.40.3
20.019.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed