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Red75
683117.7
159527.8
468225.5
Blue60
38768.9
154030.8
412524.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816802040601001201407560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#17
27.80.4
27.527.0
Auto3.6
Teleop21.2
End3.0
blue by 3.0
1540
#18
30.80.5
29.328.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.4
End3.8
Second
4682
#31
25.50.4
26.025.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.2
red by 0.7
4125
#34
24.90.5
24.624.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Third
6831
#40
17.70.4
18.017.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.6
red by 8.7
3876
#50
8.90.5
9.08.5
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned