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Red59
582727.4
298018.8
198325.2
Blue125
281139.7
255729.1
903628.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210520406012014016059125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#16
27.41.5
29.928.4
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
blue by 12.3
39.72.0
38.040.0
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.5
Second
1983
#46
25.21.5
26.725.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.8
End2.2
blue by 3.9
29.12.0
27.729.8
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End3.3
Third
2980
#33
18.81.5
20.318.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
blue by 10.2
9036
#22
28.92.0
26.628.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsEarned