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Red82
131834.6
292629.3
263513.3
Blue89
204641.6
703422.7
943020.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79972040601201401608289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.6
32.032.6
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End4.5
blue by 7.0
41.60.1
42.943.0
Auto14.1
Teleop23.8
End3.7
Second
2926
#23
29.30.6
28.829.3
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
red by 6.6
7034
#42
22.70.1
22.622.7
Auto8.7
Teleop12.5
End1.4
Third
2635
#48
13.30.6
12.813.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.5
blue by 6.9
9430
#28
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned76%Ensemble oddsMissed