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Red108
803221.3
36033.1
366340.4
Blue117
129432.0
292823.6
644335.8
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9991050150200250108117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#21
40.41.3
38.239.5
Auto14.8
Teleop21.9
End3.7
red by 4.6
6443
#29
35.81.9
31.933.8
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
360
#24
33.11.3
30.231.5
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End4.2
red by 1.2
1294
#38
32.01.9
29.931.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.7
End1.3
Third
8032
#27
21.31.3
20.021.3
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
blue by 2.3
2928
#41
23.61.9
21.723.6
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed