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Red98
252142.8
634320.4
412524.9
Blue72
49230.2
247133.4
944617.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96890501502002509872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.8
42.343.1
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End3.1
red by 9.4
2471
#14
33.40.6
33.633.0
Auto8.2
Teleop21.9
End3.2
Second
4125
#34
24.90.8
24.124.9
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End1.5
blue by 5.3
492
#26
30.20.6
30.129.4
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End2.1
Third
6343
#35
20.40.8
19.620.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 2.7
9446
#44
17.70.6
18.017.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed