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Red59
321825.2
413120.1
38768.9
Blue102
367427.3
252237.2
683117.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5296015059102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#37
25.20.4
24.825.2
Auto5.7
Teleop18.1
End1.4
blue by 12.0
37.20.0
36.436.5
Auto12.5
Teleop21.9
End2.9
Second
4131
#45
20.10.4
19.319.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 7.2
3674
#20
27.30.0
27.427.4
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End1.7
Third
3876
#50
8.90.4
8.58.9
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 8.7
6831
#40
17.70.0
17.617.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned