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Red114
189927.4
252142.8
281139.7
Blue112
49230.2
252237.2
177841.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312050100150200114112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.1
43.243.2
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End3.1
red by 1.4
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
39.70.1
40.240.1
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.5
red by 2.5
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto12.5
Teleop21.9
End2.9
Third
1899
#13
27.40.1
27.827.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4
blue by 2.8
492
#26
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End2.1