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Red132
366340.4
36033.1
445029.3
Blue134
281139.7
252142.8
189927.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101256080100140160132134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#21
40.40.6
39.840.4
Auto14.8
Teleop21.9
End3.7
blue by 2.4
42.80.3
43.243.4
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End3.1
Second
360
#24
33.10.6
32.633.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End4.2
blue by 6.6
39.70.3
40.140.4
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.5
Third
4450
#11
29.30.6
28.729.3
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6
red by 1.8
1899
#13
27.40.3
27.728.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4