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Red112
189927.4
252142.8
281139.7
Blue144
131834.6
154030.8
644335.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510350150200112144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.0
43.143.2
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End3.1
red by 7.0
6443
#29
35.81.0
34.135.1
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
39.70.0
40.140.1
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.5
red by 5.1
34.61.0
32.933.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End4.5
Third
1899
#13
27.40.0
27.627.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4
blue by 3.4
1540
#18
30.81.0
29.130.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.4
End3.8