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Red123
159527.8
446926.2
404340.9
Blue140
49230.2
252237.2
177841.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001216080140160180200123140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.7
40.240.9
Auto14.4
Teleop23.2
End3.3
blue by 0.5
41.40.6
40.841.4
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
1595
#17
27.80.7
27.127.8
Auto3.6
Teleop21.2
End3.0
blue by 9.4
37.20.6
36.637.2
Auto12.5
Teleop21.9
End2.9
Third
4469
#19
26.20.7
25.526.2
Auto7.0
Teleop14.5
End4.7
blue by 4.0
492
#26
30.20.6
29.530.2
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End2.1