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Red40
262614.4
770011.6
923414.9
Blue42
311710.8
336013.9
940620.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354402060801004042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9234
#16
14.90.8
12.313.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End1.3
blue by 5.9
9406
#10
20.70.4
11.511.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End1.5
Second
2626
#18
14.40.8
11.011.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 0.5
13.90.4
14.314.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Third
7700
#28
11.60.8
9.110.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.5
red by 0.7
3117
#26
10.80.4
12.713.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed