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Red17
311710.8
35337.6
90763.6
Blue14
692919.1
96237.0
495214.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383310203050601714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#26
10.82.4
15.112.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 8.2
6929
#15
19.12.1
10.58.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Second
3533
#22
7.62.4
9.06.6
Auto4.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 7.1
4952
#25
14.72.1
11.08.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Third
9076
#34
3.62.4
9.77.3
Auto1.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
blue by 3.4
9623
#24
7.00.1
7.07.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed