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Red17
813216.5
770011.6
49557.5
Blue48
544310.9
923414.9
760523.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3334203040501748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8132
#13
16.51.7
10.48.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
blue by 6.7
23.21.3
12.513.9
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Second
7700
#28
11.61.7
9.47.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.5
blue by 3.3
9234
#16
14.91.3
9.110.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End1.3
Third
4955
#37
7.51.7
10.58.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 3.4
5443
#30
10.91.3
9.310.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed