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Red41
815214.6
495214.7
662210.5
Blue23
39857.0
910211.2
2966.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31340204060801004123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4952
#25
14.71.2
9.210.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3
red by 3.6
9102
#33
11.20.8
11.210.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
Second
8152
#12
14.61.2
8.910.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End1.2
red by 7.5
3985
#35
7.00.8
8.27.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Third
6622
#23
10.51.2
10.111.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End2.0
red by 3.7
296
#29
6.80.8
11.010.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed