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Red45
813216.5
760523.2
806715.1
Blue16
68696.0
311710.8
35326.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52330204060801004516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.1
19.119.2
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End2.1
red by 12.4
3117
#26
10.81.8
13.111.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Second
8132
#13
16.50.1
11.511.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
red by 10.5
6869
#27
6.01.8
9.37.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End1.1
Third
8067
#14
15.10.1
13.913.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.7
red by 9.1
3532
#36
6.01.8
9.57.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed