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Red72
397514.0
940620.7
494722.2
Blue26
49557.5
35337.6
552819.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47350204060801007226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.23.0
20.323.2
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 3.0
19.21.5
17.415.8
Auto10.0
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
9406
#10
20.73.0
11.914.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End1.5
red by 13.1
3533
#22
7.61.5
6.44.8
Auto4.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Third
3975
#17
14.03.0
9.212.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 6.5
4955
#37
7.51.5
9.27.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed