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Red10
68729.0
90763.6
35326.0
Blue22
65401.2
54408.1
35337.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242210152030351022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6872
#39
9.01.5
8.57.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End0.4
red by 0.9
5440
#32
8.10.9
10.39.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End2.3
Second
3532
#36
6.01.5
7.76.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 1.6
3533
#22
7.60.9
4.83.9
Auto4.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Third
9076
#34
3.61.5
5.13.6
Auto1.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
red by 2.4
6540
#40
1.20.9
4.94.0
Auto0.6
Teleop0.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed