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Red80
354417.0
543921.4
397514.0
Blue39
96237.0
770011.6
311710.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52280204060801008039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.42.9
19.922.8
Auto9.8
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 9.8
7700
#28
11.60.4
9.09.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Second
17.02.9
11.914.8
Auto7.6
Teleop8.1
End1.3
red by 6.1
3117
#26
10.80.4
11.311.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
3975
#17
14.02.9
12.115.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 7.0
9623
#24
7.00.4
7.78.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed