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Red46
923414.9
806715.1
355010.9
Blue43
35337.6
962418.2
544310.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39352030504643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8067
#14
15.11.2
13.915.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.7
blue by 3.1
9624
#19
18.20.1
15.715.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Second
9234
#16
14.91.2
12.613.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End1.3
red by 4.0
5443
#30
10.90.1
12.612.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Third
3550
#20
10.91.2
8.39.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End0.5
red by 3.3
3533
#22
7.60.1
3.94.0
Auto4.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed