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Red40
543921.4
311710.8
815214.6
Blue68
399024.4
494722.2
54408.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48582040801001204068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.5
22.822.3
Auto9.8
Teleop8.8
End2.8
blue by 3.0
24.40.7
18.819.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.6
Second
8152
#12
14.60.5
10.39.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End1.2
blue by 7.6
22.20.7
23.224.0
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Third
3117
#26
10.80.5
11.811.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 2.8
5440
#32
8.10.7
9.410.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned