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Red14
65401.2
336013.9
770011.6
Blue71
692919.1
552819.2
68696.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3041010205060701471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.91.8
14.913.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End1.3
blue by 5.3
19.21.7
15.817.5
Auto10.0
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
7700
#28
11.61.8
9.57.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.5
blue by 7.5
6929
#15
19.11.7
13.214.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Third
6540
#40
1.21.8
4.02.2
Auto0.6
Teleop0.0
End0.6
blue by 4.8
6869
#27
6.01.7
7.08.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned