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Red14
54408.1
561814.7
544310.9
Blue69
495214.7
399024.4
354417.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446320801001469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.72.9
17.114.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 9.6
24.40.4
22.222.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.6
Second
5443
#30
10.92.7
13.710.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 6.1
17.00.4
18.018.4
Auto7.6
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Third
5440
#32
8.12.7
11.58.8
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End2.3
blue by 6.7
4952
#25
14.70.4
14.514.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed