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Red55
940620.7
68729.0
770011.6
Blue39
355010.9
35326.0
962418.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060801001205539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9406
#10
20.71.8
19.421.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End1.5
red by 2.5
9624
#19
18.20.1
14.915.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Second
7700
#28
11.61.8
9.311.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.5
red by 0.7
3550
#20
10.90.1
13.313.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Third
6872
#39
9.01.8
8.09.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End0.4
red by 3.0
3532
#36
6.00.1
7.67.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed