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Red76
85447.2
490931.2
105830.0
Blue83
808526.8
176827.7
37199.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78662040601001207683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.2
31.531.4
Auto12.6
Teleop16.1
End2.4
red by 3.5
27.70.4
26.827.3
Auto11.6
Teleop15.4
End0.7
Second
30.00.2
30.430.2
Auto13.5
Teleop14.8
End1.8
red by 3.2
26.80.4
25.926.4
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Third
8544
#28
7.20.2
7.67.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 2.0
3719
#19
9.30.4
8.48.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4