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Red91
37199.3
176827.7
808526.8
Blue59
346422.8
173512.6
19018.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665802040801001201401609159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.7
26.126.8
Auto11.6
Teleop15.4
End0.7
red by 4.9
22.80.1
22.722.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
Second
26.80.7
25.225.9
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 8.3
190
#4
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Third
3719
#19
9.30.7
7.78.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 3.4
1735
#23
12.60.1
12.512.6
Auto8.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2