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Red92
19018.5
173512.6
346422.8
Blue76
490524.1
12619.3
226211.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5660203040507080901009276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.9
21.822.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
blue by 1.4
4905
#10
24.10.4
23.824.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Second
190
#4
18.50.9
17.518.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
blue by 0.8
126
#11
19.30.4
19.019.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Third
1735
#23
12.60.9
11.612.5
Auto8.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
red by 1.1
2262
#15
11.60.4
11.211.6
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4