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Red53
808526.8
975.8
12619.3
Blue20
85447.2
66204.7
19018.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51310204060801005320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.6
24.725.3
Auto11.0
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 8.3
190
#4
18.51.8
12.510.8
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Second
126
#11
19.30.6
16.016.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End2.5
red by 12.1
8544
#28
7.21.8
11.710.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
97
#16
5.80.6
3.23.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End1.5
red by 1.2
6620
#27
4.71.8
6.64.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed